Fourth roll 62 -- what are the features of the position?

XGID=-aa---E-C---cE-A-cbe----A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

What are the features of the position that drive your answer?

No bot content please.

White:

  • An important point made.
  • Nice blitz potential with ten men in the zone.
  • Split runners means increased outfield coverage.

Black:

  • Very little, bar from an an escaped chequer.

Moving 15/9 with the ⚅ does not look appealing as there are 13 shots — if I counted them correctly — that hit.

A tempo play (with 8/2*) is not possible.

24/16 is what we are left with. A hit will mean another man in the zone, but at least strips white's mid-point.

I agree with fas. The opponent has blitzing and priming potential, and I think the best we can do is to jump over that potential. If we get hit in the outfield we do force them to strip the midpoint.

    1. Rollout¹    24/16                        eq:-0.181
      Player:   46.42% (G:8.96% B:0.39%)
      Opponent: 53.58% (G:16.02% B:0.54%)
      Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.193..-0.169) - [100.0%]
      Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes

    2. Rollout¹    24/22 15/9                   eq:-0.225 (-0.045)
      Player:   45.49% (G:9.45% B:0.43%)
      Opponent: 54.51% (G:16.64% B:0.50%)
      Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.236..-0.215) - [0.0%]
      Duration: 52 minutes 27 seconds


¹  1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
   Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
   Search interval: Huge

Nice analysis by fas32311.